Stocks rise despite retail worries

US stock indexes rose on Tuesday, reversing earlier losses after a profit warning from Target cast a shadow over the retail sector.

The S&P 500 rose 0.4%, building on Monday’s 0.3% gain. The Nasdaq Composite Index is up 0.7%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 0.2%.

Stocks have swung in recent days, weighed down by changes in opinions about the strength of the economy and the likely path of central banks and interest rates. The big concern is that central banks could act too aggressively while battling inflation and slowing economic growth, or even triggering a recession.

said Fahad Kamal, chief investment officer at Kleinwort Hambros.

Target stocks tumbled 3% after issuing a warning that their earnings will fall because they need to cancel orders or offer discounts to clear unwanted merchandise, a possible sign of lower consumer spending. Shares of other major retailers followed suit, with Walmart and Costco down 2%.

A significant increase in retail inventories and diminishing demand could moderate prices across most consumer goods in the second half of the year, according to Peter Essely, head of portfolio management at Commonwealth Financial Network.

“This would be a good thing for inflation in general and would help lift markets as inflation continues to fall,” Essele said.

The US trade deficit for April narrowed to $87.1 billion, narrower than economists had expected, after hitting a record deficit the previous month. The main release this week will be Friday’s CPI, which will be closely watched for signs of whether or not inflation is weakening.

On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its key interest rate by 0.5 percentage point, more than expected.

“The RBA’s move, is a reminder that central banks can surprise to the upside. What does this tell us about what the Fed will do, and what the ECB will do? Tighter tightening directly means a higher probability of a recession,” Kamal said.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell to 2.988% from 3.037% on Monday. Yields decrease when prices rise.

“With returns at 3%, it shows that the market hasn’t decided whether we’re going to have a recession or if we have a recession, how severe it will be,” said Julian Lafarge, chief market strategist at Barclays Private. . “This is what you might want to have if you’re anticipating a recession.”

Traders worked on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Friday.


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In other corporate news, Kohl’s shares jumped more than 10% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the department store chain was in exclusive talks to sell it to retail holding company Franchise Group..

The deal could value the company at around $8 billion.

Arcade Dave & Buster’s Entertainment stock rose 4% after reporting a jump in sales growth.

BuzzFeed shares rose 9%, reversing some of their gains, after dropping 41% on Monday after the lifting of the ban that prevented executives and large investors from selling shares.

Twitter shares rose 0.9% after Elon Musk on Monday threatened to end his takeover of the social media platform, saying the company had not complied with requests for data about spam accounts.

Casey’s General Stores are scheduled to report after markets close.

Offshore, the Stoxx Europe 600 Index is down 0.3%. In Asia, the main criteria were mixed. The Shanghai Composite Index is up 0.2%, while the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong is down 0.6%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index rose 0.1 percent.

The Japanese yen weakened 0.7%, reaching its lowest level against the dollar since April 2002. The yen has been sold off this year as the Bank of Japan remained committed to ultra-easy monetary policy, while many other central banks started raising interest rates to combat rapid inflation.

Cryptocurrencies are down, with Bitcoin down 5% and below $30K. Ether fell by 6%.

Write to Anna Hirtenstein at anna.hirtenstein@wsj.com and Vicky Ge Huang at vicky.huang@wsj.com

As markets respond to rising interest rates and the threat of a recession, stocks are approaching bear market territory. Gunjan Banerji of the Wall Street Journal explains what it takes to get stocks back into a bull market and why it’s hard to predict when they will turn around. Illustration: Jacob Reynolds

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