Hospital admissions roughly three times a month – NBC New York

The number of hospitalizations in New York with COVID-19 exceeded 2,000 for the first time since late February on Tuesday, rising nearly threefold in just one month as the highly contagious sub-variants of omicron led to calls for renewed caution from officials locally and nationally.

The upward trend continued on Wednesday.

As of Gov. Kathy Hochul’s latest update, 2,119 New Yorkers have been hospitalized with COVID across the state’s 10 regions, an increase of 153% since April 3 alone though still well below the 13,000 people admitted during the peak of the surge in January.

The rate of COVID hospitalizations per 100,000 New Yorkers more than doubled in the same period, from 4.25 to 9.84, state data shows, as Finger Lakes fuels the latest increases with a regional rate of 28.04 COVID hospitalizations per 100,000 residents in a seven-rolling base today. And while only 47% of hospitalized patients with COVID have been admitted statewide for this reason, the numbers are being monitored.

Hochul office

Here’s a look at hospitalization trends for COVID in New York state.

The proportion of hospitalized COVID patients in central New York, which was driving the COVID spike in New York a few weeks ago, was 62.4%, much higher than the state average, for example. At the time, health officials blamed the overall increase in infections on a higher than national average prevalence of omicron sub-variables BA.2.12.1 and BA.2.12.

Now the first, which a new preprint study, not yet peer-reviewed, says is 25% more contagious than the “inherently transmissible” omicron BA.2 variant that came before it, estimated to account for 70% of all viruses circulating in the world. The CDC region that includes the Empire State, another increase in prevalence weekly.

By comparison, the CDC’s maximum estimate for nationwide prevalence of BA.2.12.1 is 45%, and BA.2 is still thought to drive the majority of cases across America. The potential spillover effect in New York may already be under way.

While the rate of COVID infection circulating in central New York continues to stabilize or even decline, the state says, other areas that have seen low viral rates, including New York City and Long Island, are seeing an uptick in their underlying COVID metrics.

The five boroughs now have the highest rate of hospitalizations for COVID per 100,000 residents since early March, and while it’s still very low (5.86 on a rolling basis), it could rise in the coming weeks if the infection rate continues to rise.

Earlier this week, New York City health officials raised the COVID alert level to medium as cases exceeded the rate of 200 per 100,000 people in the five boroughs. It was the first time the Department of Health had revised this level since the new system came into being under Mayor Eric Adams earlier this year.

Two areas — Manhattan and Staten Island — are now considered medium-risk COVID counties by the CDC, too. Of the 56 US counties with a CDC high-risk rating as of Wednesday, more than half are in New York State.

Although there is no scientific evidence to date linking BA.2.12.1 to a more severe disease associated with COVID or lower efficacy of the vaccine at this point, higher transmissibility appears to be evident.

A new COVID protocol will not be implemented at this point in the city, but should the alert level reach a high – the highest of the three set by health officials – the indoor face mask mandate for all people regardless of vaccination could return .

Now, New York City Health Commissioner Dr. Ashwin Vasan says New Yorkers need to be more vigilant than they have in the past few weeks — and advises those who are at higher risk of developing severe illness from COVID, for whatever reason, to consider avoiding crowded indoor gatherings and other high-risk situations.

“The coming weeks will be critical in slowing the spread of COVID-19 and returning to a low-risk level so that we can enjoy our spring more safely,” Vasan said on Monday. “And remember, the steps you take to protect yourself also work to protect others, especially those who are most vulnerable. As a city, we have the tools we need to beat this virus. As New Yorkers, we’re in this together. By incorporating these steps into our daily lives, We can keep looking out for each other and ourselves.”

The CDC also repeated its guidelines for masks for travel a day earlier, citing current COVID prevalence rates and expected trends in its decision-making process.

Sub variants BA.4 and BA.5, which early data indicate is less contagious than BA.2.12.1 but more transmissible than BA.2, have been circulated in South Africa and Europe but have not yet been detected by laboratory findings in the United States. United are still probably here.

According to the CDC, less than 1% of the more than 81 million COVID-19 infections in the country so far have been genetically sequenced to isolate variants.

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