France: Macron’s alliance on the verge of losing a majority – predictions | Election News

Expectations showed that French President Emmanuel Macron’s coalition won the most seats in the last round of parliamentary elections on Sunday, but lost the parliamentary majority.

The projections, based in part on results, show Macron’s candidates will win between 200 and 250 seats – far short of the 289 seats needed for a straight majority in the National Assembly, France’s most powerful parliament.

The result means Macron’s coalition will be the largest party in the upcoming 577-seat parliament. Failure to achieve a majority means that the president may be forced into alliances with other parties.

“It is less than we had hoped. The French did not give us an absolute majority. It is an unprecedented situation that will require us to overcome our divisions,” said Gabriel Attal, Minister of the Budget.

Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire called the outcome a “democratic shock” and said they would reach out to all pro-Europeans to help govern the country.

If the results are confirmed, it will severely taint Macron’s victory in April’s presidential election when he defeated the far right to become the first French president to win a second term in more than two decades.

A new coalition called the Nupes – made up of the hard left, socialists and greens led by Jean-Luc Melenchon – is expected to become the main opposition force with around 150 to 200 seats.

“[It is] Absolutely unexpected situation. “The path of the presidential party is complete and there is no clear majority in sight,” Melenchon said.

“France has spoken, it must be said, with an insufficient voice because the level of abstention is still very high, which means that a large part of France does not know where to turn.”

The far-right National Assembly is expected to register a big boom with the potential to have more than 80 seats, compared to eight before.

The party’s leader, Marine Le Pen, said she would seek to unite all “patriots from the right and the left” after her party performed stronger than expected.

Macron’s adventure has come to an end. “We will embody a strong opposition,” she said.

Ifop, OpinionWay, Elabe and Ipsos poll forecasts showed Macron’s Ensemble coalition winning 210-240 seats while Nupes 149-188.

big breakthrough

The Melenchon Nupes coalition campaigned to freeze commodity prices, lower the retirement age, set a cap on inheritance, and ban dividend-paying companies from layoffs. Melenchon also called for rebellion against the European Union.

Sunday’s election result was crucial to Macron’s agenda for a second term after his re-election in April, as the 44-year-old needs a majority to be able to deliver on promised tax cuts, welfare reform and a higher retirement age.

This parliamentary election was determined in large part by apathy with voters – more than half of the electorate stayed home for the first round, and the segregation of candidates kept people away.

19-year-old Audrey Pelete, who cast her ballot in Pussy-Saint-Antoine in southeast Paris, was saddened that so few people turned out for the election.

Some people fought to vote. “It’s very unfortunate that most young people don’t,” she said.

The Interior Ministry said on Sunday turnout was 38.11 percent at 15:00 GMT. The figure was down from the 39.42 percent recorded in the first round on June 12 at the same stage, although it was up from the 35.33 percent recorded in 2017.

It was Emmanuel Macron’s arrogance, his contempt for the French people, and his inability to secure and purchasing power that made him the leader of a minority. “It’s a huge breakthrough,” said Jordan Bardella, interim president of the National Rally.

“We’ve known better evenings,” government spokeswoman Olivia Gregoire said on France 2 television.

“This is a very disappointing senior position, but it is still number one,” she said. “We are extending a helping hand to all those who are well to get the country moving forward.”

“less presidential”

Some voters argued against the selection of radical political candidates who gained popularity. Others said the French system, which grants broad power to the president, should give more votes to the multifaceted parliament and work with more checks on the Elysee presidential palace and its residents.

I am not afraid that there will be a National Assembly more divided between the different parties. “I hope for a system that is more parliamentary and less presidential, as it can be in other countries,” said Simon Noyes, an engineer who votes in southern Paris.

Macron’s failure to secure a majority could have repercussions across Europe. Analysts predict that the French president will have to spend the rest of his term focusing more on his domestic agenda rather than his foreign policy. It could mean the end of President Macron, the continental statesman.

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