Expert Picks & Betting Tips for the 2022 Open Championship

The PGA Tour heads to the old track at St. Andrews is in Scotland for the 2022 Open on Thursday. Three-time winner Tiger Woods will return to the main stage after skipping the US Open last month. The field will also feature 15 other former champions, including Phil Mickelson, Colin Morikawa and Jordan Spieth. Woods enters the Open Championship by 65-1 to win another Clarett Jug, while Rory McIlroy is the preferred bet at 9-1. Other contenders include Scottish Open champion Xander Shaveli and Masters winner Scotty Scheffler.

Where is the bet? Will the favorites prevail? Our golf and betting experts break the field in the last major of the year.

Go to the section:
Expert picks to win | The bet chooses the value to win | Prospects for Outstanding Golfers | props and more


Expert Choices

Matt Barry, ESPN
Winners:
Rory McIlroy

Michael Ives, ESPN
Winners:
Rory McIlroy

Charlotte Gibson, ESPN.com
Winners: Rory McIlroy

Andy North, ESPN
Winners: John Ram

Mark Schlabach, ESPN.com
Winners:
Jordan Spieth

Marty Smith, ESPN
Winners:
Will Zlatoris

Curtis Strange, ESPN
Winners:
Cameron Smith

Wright Thompson, ESPN.com
Winners:
tiger wood

Paolo Augeti, ESPN.com
Winners:
Will Zlatoris

Tom Van Haren, ESPN.com
Winners:
Will Zlatoris

Scott Van Pelt, ESPN
Winners:
Jordan Spieth

Kevin Van Valkenburg, ESPN.com
Winners:
Max Homa

Josh Winfuss, ESPN.com
Winners:
Rory McIlroy


The bet chooses the value to win

Our betting experts give you choices to win based on value. We look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance to cash your ticket.

Michael Collins, Senior Golf Analyst at ESPN
Winners: Tommy Fleetwood (28-1)

Why would he win: It’s strange to think that Fleetwood will come under the radar week. He finished T-4 at the Scottish Open, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s in competition this weekend.

David Berman, Deputy Sports Betting Editor, ESPN.com
Winners: Xander Shaveli (16-1)

Why would he win: At 16-1, Shaveli has tremendous value, having racked up two straight wins and three wins in his past seven events. It’s a top 10 in approach, tee to green and overall, yet still +500+ taller than McIlroy. He has nine of the top 10 in the majors and misses a win. No need to think about this.

Chris Valica, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winners:
Jordan Spieth (16-1)

Why would he win: It looks like Spieth is gearing up for last week’s World Open in Scotland. While he would have liked to win, he spent the weekend focusing on parts of the game that would come in handy at St. Andrews. He’s had a runner-up win here since he finished T-4 in 2015 and it looks like his game is well in place for his entry on Thursday.

Tyler Fulghum, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winners: Tony Fino (40-1)

Why would he win: There are a few top-tier players waiting to break into their first major tournament and I’m loving them this weekend, but Finau offers the best price. His track record in Open Courses and Links style speaks for itself: Top 15 in each of his past three Open Championships. It is also in good shape as it enters St. Andrews has finished thirteenth in the top three in his past four games.

Joe Fortenbow, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winners: Max Homa (50-1)

Why would he win: She’s got 50-1 odds on a healthy golfer who’s already had two Tour wins this season, most recently at Wells Fargo in May. Huma has been incredibly consistent this season, finishing in the top 20 out of 10 of his past 15 stroke play events while making the cut-offs in all three major leagues this season. Keep in mind that he finished 40 last year in his first ever Open Championship entry, and I’m thrilled to be tied for 50-1.

Anita Marks, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winners: Patrick Cantlay (20-1)
Cantlay is flying low on the radar, but she’s been playing exceptional golf lately. He has missed the cut only once in his past six starts, but has finished 14th or better three times in the top five. He’s in the top 10 in the 4 point standings, and should dominate the standings this week.

ESPN’s Doug Keziran, bookmaker
Winners: Dustin Johnson (30-1)

Why would he win: His game isn’t in perfect shape now, but 30-1 for a player of his caliber is just too good to miss. The guy finished the T-14 at St. Andrews in 2010 and has four top ten positions in this discipline, including last year.


Odds of winning the 2022 Open Championship


props and more

Our betting experts have more than just a bet to win. Here are some props to target for the entire event, from top 10 players to cuts to tournament matches.

Xander Schauffele top-20 finish (-125)
Bearman / Fallica: This prop has been earned in seven consecutive events this season and in 14 of 21 majors in Schauffele’s career. His top 20’s price is down from +200, but it’s still stealing at -125.

Tiger Woods for Cutting (-145)
bear man: Nobody is asking Tiger to win that thing and 60-1 isn’t even close to real value, but he planned his entire year around the event, even missing the US Open for it. It’s his favorite track and he lifted the claret pitcher in 2000 and 2005. Walking the track would be a lot easier on his rehab leg than Augusta and Brooklyn. It only needs to arrive on Saturday.

Sahith Thigala 10th place (+1200)
Collins: Ignorance isn’t usually bliss, but Theegala will be the exception to that rule on his first-ever debut at The Open in St. Andrews.

Max Homa Top 10 Finish (+350)
Valika: Homma put together a solid first three rounds last week before falling back on Sunday. He’s been in the top 25 since the Masters, he’s 13th in the Tour of Strokes Earned: from tee to green and should improve here after tasting last year’s championship (T-40).

Shane Lowry 20th (+130)
Signs: It was Laurie He played great golf this season, off his putter. He will return to his element in the links cycle where his game is top notch and the scramble will keep him in the top 20 if not higher.

Jordan Smith top 40 points (+150)
Signs: I picked Smith last week to finish in the top 20 and he didn’t disappoint. He has six of the top 25 riders in a row on the DP World Tour, and I expect him to pick up where he left off last week facing a more challenging field.

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