8 things to watch in Tuesday’s primary

California, Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Mexico, New Jersey and South Dakota are scheduled to hold primaries on Tuesday. In California, the top two candidates regardless of party will run to the general election in November. Parties of other countries will choose their candidates for the half-term.

Former Republican Billionaire Vs. Progressive Democrat in Liberal Los Angeles

Can a former Republican real estate developer leverage his own years of power in Los Angeles to become the next major liberal stronghold?

That is the question at stake in Southern California on Tuesday, as billionaire Rick Caruso delivers Rep. Karen Bass strongly challenged their bids to be president in Los Angeles.

Caruso poured millions of his fortune into the race, vowing to tackle rampant homelessness in the city, fight corruption and tackle the city’s crime rate by increasing the size of the police force. In a television ad, the former Republican said he was running “because the city we love is in an emergency,” referring to “the rampant homelessness” and “people who live in fear for their safety.”

Bass, a congresswoman and former California state assembly member, highlights many of the same issues—including crime and homelessness—but with a more progressive message and promotes its connection to the city. If she becomes a pioneer in Los Angeles, she will be the first woman to hold that position.

There is a good chance that this will be the first time Caruso and Bass have faced each other. If no candidate in the 12-person field receives 50% of the vote, the top two runners-up in the race move to the run-off in November.

San Francisco District Attorney at Risk of Subpoena

San Francisco District Attorney Chiesa Bowden was appointed to office in 2019 over concerns about police misconduct, criminal justice reform and mass incarceration, a critical point for the movement to elect more progressive prosecutors.

Three years – one pandemic – after that, the winds have turned dramatically against the prosecutor’s progressive and lax approach to dealing with certain types of crimes, leaving him facing a summons.

That effort and Bowden’s time in office cannot be separated from the coronavirus pandemic, which has coincided with rising property crime rates in San Francisco. The recall is as much about sentiment among San Francisco residents as it is about crime rates — homelessness remains an ongoing problem in the city as residents report unease in large swaths of business districts due to drug use and crime.

Bowden sought to combat this effort by calling it a natural reaction to the election of a progressive attorney general, linking the effort to Republicans and police unions. But while Republican money assists in the effort, pressure to recall Bowden was initially backed by Democrats.

House Republicans face challenges from the right

Across the preliminary map on Tuesday, House Republicans face challengers who have questioned their conservative intentions and loyalty to Trump.

A Guide to Competitive House Racing in California

In California, Rep. David Valadao – one of the 10 Republicans who backed Trump’s impeachment in 2021 – is facing a challenge from Republican Chris Mattis, who campaigned as an ardent Trump supporter and made Valladao’s vote his primary argument against the incumbent.

In South Dakota, three statewide elected Republicans, a governor. Kristi Noem, Senator. John Thune and MP. Dusty Johnson, the face of the primaries from the right. The most serious challenge seems to be the representative of the state. Tavi Howard effort to beat Johnson. She has embraced Trump’s lies about the results of the 2020 election and criticized Johnson for voting to ratify the Electoral College votes.

And in New Jersey, Rep. Chris Smith, who was first elected in 1980, is vying with conservative radio host Mike Crespi and former FBI agent Steve Gray, who has described the veteran president as too moderate.

California’s ‘Orange Curtain’ trends return to Republicans

In 2018, Orange County gave Democrats what it had been giving millions of people before: endless opportunities and great promise. The party perpetuated anti-Republican sentiment and turned the historically Republican district — known politically as California’s Orange Curtain — into a Democratic stronghold, winning all six of the district’s congressional seats that year.

But times have changed.

In 2020, Republicans won two seats in Orange County — Michelle Steele and Yong Kim defeated the Democratic incumbents to flip two seats — and the party hopes to win at least two more congressional seats in Orange County this year, which could be a historically bad year for Democrats.

This shift highlights how quickly a region’s political landscape can shift. In just four years, Democrats have gone from newly dominant in Orange County to significantly threatening.

Changing the Guard in New Jersey? (Somewhat.)

The candidates may be new, but the names are not.

New Jersey is home to some of the country’s most powerful political machines, and while a few have been shaken up in recent election cycles, they are expected to show their strength again this year.

In North Jersey’s 8th congressional district, the Democratic Rep. The announcement of Albio Ceres’ retirement didn’t send candidates rushing into the safe blue zone across the Hudson River from New York City. Instead, Ceres and other local leaders soon endorsed Robert Menendez Jr., the son of New Jersey Moon. Bob Menendez. The younger Menendez elicited indignation and outsmarted the other nominees, David Ocampo Gragales and Ann Roseborough Eberhard.

Nearby, in the heavily Democratic 10th congressional district, a republic. Donald Payne Jr. He is a strong candidate to win the nomination again despite an impassioned challenge from Imani Oakley, the former legislative director for Business Families in New Jersey. Oakley’s campaign was dealt a blow during the redistricting that helped bolster Payne’s base. Akil Khalfani, director of the Africana Institute at Essex County College, is also in the running. He ran as an independent in the 2020 election, but won barely 1% of the vote.

On the Republican side, Tuesday’s big race was in Central Jersey’s 7th Congressional District, where former Senate Minority Leader Thomas Keane Jr., the son of the former New Jersey governor, was. Tom Keane, is the leader in a crowded field vying for a general election date with the Democratic Representative. Tom Malinowski, who narrowly defeated Ken Jr. In 2020. But Malinowski, who has faced moral questions, will fight an uphill battle to win again after stripping the seat from some Democratic strongholds during the redistricting.

The Republican from restive Mississippi faces a fundamental challenge

re \ come back. Stephen Palazzo, who was first elected to Congress during the 2010 Tea Party wave, is facing six major Republican challengers amid allegations that he lost hundreds of thousands of dollars in campaign and congressional funds and used his office to aid his brother’s efforts to rejoin the Navy.

Among his rivals in the Gulf Coast region, Jackson County Sheriff Mike Ezell and Hancock County businessman Clay Wagner are most likely, if they don’t beat Palazzo, then send the race to a run-off on June 28. Tuesday’s winner needs more than 50% of the vote to win the nomination. State senator Bryce Wiggins, Karl Boyantton, Kidron Peterson and Raymond Brooks are also in the running.

In addition to the moral controversy, Palazzo’s opponents have criticized him for his congressional attendance record. Despite his public opposition to proxy voting in the House, he made good use of the option, exercising it dozens of times even after joining the lawsuit against House Speaker Nancy Pelosi who tried to stop him.

And in another potentially damaging episode, Palazzo made headlines last month when he pulled out of a candidate’s forum citing “meetings dealing with national security” – and then posted a photo online with his son at a restaurant during the event.

A seat in the California Central Valley to be filled

The next concern for a former GOP representative. One-time congressional district pick for Devin Nunes will be on Tuesday.

The seat was vacant when Nunes, the controversial congressman who tried to help Trump avoid scrutiny over Russia’s involvement in the 2016 election, decided to leave Congress to become CEO of Trump’s media company, Trump Media and Technology Group.

The seat, which includes a large portion of California’s San Joaquin Valley, leans on Republicans and all indications are that Republican Conway Conway, a former minority leader in the California State Assembly, will win the race. She finished the race ahead of Democrat Lauren Hubbard in the April primary.

Zink tries to get Montana back.

former deputy. Ryan Zinke, who left his scandal-filled term as Secretary of State for Trump, is trying to make a political return to Montana — but faces familiar questions about whether he spends most of his time there or in California.

Zinke, a former US Navy and Montana state senator who was first elected to the House in 2014 and re-elected in 2016 before resigning to join the Trump government, seizes an opportunity created when the 2020 census results awarded Treasure State a second district for Congress. re \ come back. Matt Rosendel, who holds one statewide seat in the state, is running for re-election in the newly created second district, while Zinke is campaigning in the first.

But Zinke faces criticism from his right-wing opponents over whether he is too supportive of Trump and the former president’s efforts to build a wall on the US-Mexico border.

He also faces questions about whether he lives in Montana after Politico reported last month that his wife claimed a home in Santa Barbara, California, as her primary residence in tax records and other forms. Zinke’s campaign responded to the report by saying that he lives in Whitefish, Montana, and that his wife inherited and kept her parents’ former California home, of which she is the sole owner.

Zinke faces four other candidates in Tuesday’s primary, including the former state senator. Albert Olshevsky and Reverend Mary Todd.

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